PECOTA Projections

As promised, here are the standings as PECOTA (Baseball Prospectus' projection system) sees them:

	W - L	%	GB
TP	162-150	.519	--
JL	161-151	.516	1
JR	160-152	.513	2
TR	160-152	.513	2
DI	158-154	.506	4
SK	156-156	.500	6
BB	153-159	.490	9
AJ	151-161	.484	11
SC	149-163	.478	13
EF	149-163	.478	13

Top Offenses: Ben (.530), Shaun(.515), Eric(.514)
Top Staffs: Tony(.559), Justin(.540), Josh(.527)

Once again, it looks like a pretty tight race with less than one series seperating first through 8th.

Things That I Find Interesting
• ESPN thinks Thomas has the best staff, but PECOTA has him 5th.
• ESPN thinks Shaun will be last, while PECOTA projects a .500 season.
• Both systems put Justin in the top 3 and Eric and Scott in the bottom 3.
• Largest differences between the two systems: PECOTA likes Shaun's offense to win 16 more games than ESPN, and Justin's offense to lose 10 more games than ESPN. It also likes Ben's and Thomas' staffs to lose 13 more games than ESPN.

Disclaimer: Once again, these are not my opinions or how I think things will go down. All I did was stick numbers into Excel and this is what came out. This time, I DID try to adjust for the active roster, putting players in their correct positions and not counting bench at all. I had to make some decisions about bullpen make-up so I chose the one that maximized wins for each team.