Pythagorean Projections
Eric inspired me by posting the comparisons of projected stats yesterday. Being the dork that I am, I decided to do Pythagorean Projections of each category. These give an expected wins total for each team:
W - L | % | GB | |
TR | 165-147 | .529 | -- |
JR | 163-149 | .522 | 2 |
BB | 158-154 | .507 | 7 |
TP | 157-155 | .503 | 8 |
JL | 157-155 | .504 | 8 |
DI | 156-156 | .501 | 9 |
AJ | 154-158 | .493 | 11 |
EF | 153-159 | .492 | 12 |
SC | 153-159 | .490 | 12 |
SK | 143-169 | .460 | 22 |
Top Offenses: Eric (.537), Ben(.522), Justin(.519)
Top Staffs: Thomas(.560), Tony(.540), Justin(.525)
Looks like a pretty tight race. I feel much better about my team after doing this, though I suspect some of you will feel worse about yours. ESPN thinks that Shaun's "Future Squad" will need some help this season. If anyone wants to know the more detailed information, I have expected wins broken out by each category. If I get time, I'm going to do the same thing using PECOTAs.
Disclaimer: Just so everyone knows, these are not my opinions or how I think things will go down. All I did was stick numbers into Excel and this is what came out. As with Eric's numbers, it counts all players on the 30 man roster and does not adjust for bench players.
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