3.21.2007

Pythagorean Projections

Eric inspired me by posting the comparisons of projected stats yesterday. Being the dork that I am, I decided to do Pythagorean Projections of each category. These give an expected wins total for each team:

W - L%GB
TR165-147.529--
JR163-149.5222
BB158-154.5077
TP157-155.5038
JL157-155.5048
DI156-156.5019
AJ154-158.49311
EF153-159.49212
SC153-159.49012
SK143-169.46022

Top Offenses: Eric (.537), Ben(.522), Justin(.519)
Top Staffs: Thomas(.560), Tony(.540), Justin(.525)

Looks like a pretty tight race. I feel much better about my team after doing this, though I suspect some of you will feel worse about yours. ESPN thinks that Shaun's "Future Squad" will need some help this season. If anyone wants to know the more detailed information, I have expected wins broken out by each category. If I get time, I'm going to do the same thing using PECOTAs.

Disclaimer: Just so everyone knows, these are not my opinions or how I think things will go down. All I did was stick numbers into Excel and this is what came out. As with Eric's numbers, it counts all players on the 30 man roster and does not adjust for bench players.

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